与衰老相关的消费趋势对中国碳排放效率的影响:基于工业结构调整的调解效应模型
Ran Yu1, Zhangchi Wang1, Yan Li2
1School of Environment & Natural Resources, Renmin University of China, Beijing, 100872, China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|October 18, 2023
概括
中国人口老龄化通过促进消费者服务和工业调整,对碳排放效率 (CEE) 有积极的影响. 针对老年人的有针对性的市场发展可以加速中东欧和中东欧国家的改进,并支持碳中和目标.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 工业经济学 工业经济学
背景情况:
- 中国人口快速老龄化为其经济体系带来复杂的挑战和机遇.
- 人口变化显著影响工业和消费模式,影响国家碳排放.
- 了解人口老龄化和碳排放效率 (CEE) 之间的相互作用对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析与老龄化相关的消费趋势对中国区域碳排放效率 (CEE) 的影响.
- 调查工业结构调整在消费老龄化和中东欧的关系中的调解作用.
- 为调整老龄化趋势与碳中和目标提供政策见解.
主要方法:
- 从2000年到2019年,中国30个省份的数据分析.
- 计量经济学建模以评估与老龄化相关的消费对CEE的影响.
- 检查工业结构调整的调解效应,特别是消费者服务部门.
主要成果:
- 与消费老龄化相关的消费趋势被发现有利于改善区域CEE.
- 工业结构调整作为一个重要的调解因素,其系数为0.1496.6.
- 东部地区的消费服务带来的积极影响最为明显,而中部和西部地区的积极影响较弱.
结论:
- 针对老年人的产品和服务市场的发展可以促进消费升级和增强CEE的良性循环.
- 与老龄化趋势相一致的战略工业转型对于中国实现其碳中和目标至关重要.
- 在老龄化-消费-中东欧国家关系中的区域差异需要量身定制的政策干预.
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