阿尔卑斯山闪电的年度和日间周期的放大
Thorsten Simon1,2, Georg J Mayr3, Deborah Morgenstern2,3
1Department of Mathematics, Universität Innsbruck, Technikerstrasse 21a, 6020 Innsbruck, Austria.
概括
气候变化正在增加欧洲的雷电活动,特别是在高阿尔卑斯山上. 闪电季节更长,更强烈,下午和晚上袭击的数量显著增加.
科学领域:
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 气象学 天气学
背景情况:
- 了解闪电对气候变化的反应至关重要.
- 电流环境的代理数据表明,欧洲的闪电趋势越来越大.
- 闪电是一种复杂的现象,受到多个大气尺度的影响.
研究的目的:
- 为了重建历史上的云对地面闪电活动.
- 分析欧洲东部阿尔卑斯山及其周边地区的闪电趋势.
- 研究气候变化对闪电季节性和日间周期的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了长达十年的闪电测量和每小时一次的大气再分析.
- 集成的云微物理和灵活的回归技术.
- 由于不同的环境条件,专注于欧洲东部阿尔卑斯山.
主要成果:
- 从1980年代到2010年代,高阿尔卑斯山的闪电活动翻了一番.
- 高阿尔卑斯山的闪电季节开始更早,高峰更高.
- 白天闪电峰值增加了多达50%,下午/晚上更多的袭击.
结论:
- 高阿尔卑斯山显示闪电活动显著增加,与周围平原不同.
- 气候变化正在明显改变欧洲山区的闪电模式.
- 需要进一步的研究才能充分理解推动这些变化的复杂相互作用.
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