根据基于驱动器均集群的风险场景下影响碰撞的因素分析
Lili Zheng1,2,3, Yanlin Li1,2,3, Tongqiang Ding1
1School of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun, China.
PloS one
|October 20, 2023
概括
这项研究确定了两种不同的驾驶员集群参与撞车事故,揭示出驾驶技能不佳在一组中导致撞车事故,而交通状况和安全意识则影响另一组. 这些发现使得有针对性的道路安全干预措施成为可能.
科学领域:
- 道路安全研究 道路安全研究
- 交通心理学 交通心理学
- 事故分析 事故分析
背景情况:
- 之前的道路安全研究往往忽视了驾驶员在事故造成的异质性.
- 在风险场景中影响崩的因素的结合机制仍然不完全理解.
研究的目的:
- 根据多维特征将驱动器分为同质集群.
- 探索不同驾驶者集群中影响因素对车辆撞车事故的直接和间接影响.
- 为了比较已识别的驾驶员集群之间的撞车原因差异.
主要方法:
- 对于驾驶员分类的K-means集群算法.
- 结构方程建模 (SEM) 与中介效应分析.
- 对人口,内在驾驶和环境因素的分析.
主要成果:
- 确定了两个不同的同质驾驶员集群,其特征和碰撞率存在显著差异.
- 交通因素,分心,避免碰撞的反应和机动判断直接影响了两个集群的碰撞结果.
- 人口和环境因素对事故结果表现出间接的中介作用.
结论:
- 集群1驾驶员的车祸主要与驾驶技能的不足有关.
- 集群2驾驶员的车祸更多地与交通条件和安全意识有关.
- 该研究的方法可以为制定有针对性的道路安全政策提供信息.
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