社会发展的复杂性影响 建筑碳排放的综合指标:来自中国的经验证据
Qing Yang1, Jinmei Wang1, Xingxing Liu2
1School of Safety Science and Emergency Management, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, 430070, China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|October 21, 2023
概括
社会发展以复杂,非线性的方式显著影响中国的建筑碳排放. 技术进步为实现碳中和目标提供了大量的减排潜力.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 中国的建筑业对于实现国家碳峰值和碳中和目标至关重要.
- 社会发展和生态因素对建筑碳排放的确切影响需要进一步阐明.
研究的目的:
- 调查综合社会发展指标与中国建筑碳排放之间的非线性关系.
- 分析和发展,脱和技术进步在影响建筑碳排放方面的作用.
- 为减少建筑碳排放和增强气候适应能力提供基于证据的战略.
主要方法:
- 利用面板平滑过渡回归模型分析来自中国30个省份 (2007-2020) 的数据.
- 员工进行了可靠性检查,以验证模型的发现.
- 检查了冲击中的时间和空间异质性.
主要成果:
- 社会发展指标与建筑碳排放之间存在着重要的非线性关系.
- 和的发展和技术进步显示了两个过渡功能;脱显示了一个.
- 和的发展表明对排放的敏感性更高,而技术进步呈现出相当大的减排潜力.
结论:
- 社会发展对建筑碳排放的影响是复杂的,非线性,因地区和时间而异.
- 技术进步是减轻建筑碳排放的关键.
- 研究结果支持针对区域气候适应能力和有效减缓气候变化的有针对性的战略.
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