根据综合建模方法,估计农村和森林火灾产生的年度温室气体和颗粒物排放量
Carla Scarpa1, Valentina Bacciu2, Davide Ascoli3
1National Research Council, Institute of BioEconomy (CNR-IBE), 07100 Sassari, Italy.
The Science of the total environment
|October 21, 2023
概括
农村和森林火灾通过温室气体 (GHG) 和颗粒物排放对空气质量和人类健康产生重大影响. 本研究使用意大利的综合建模方法来增强排放估计.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
背景情况:
- 野火是大气微量气体和微粒的主要来源.
- 这些排放影响碳预算,空气质量和人类健康.
- 准确的排放清单对于环境管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和展示一个综合建模方法来估计地表火灾的排放.
- 提高温室气体和颗粒物排放估计的准确性.
- 将该模型应用于意大利从2007年至2017年作为案例研究.
主要方法:
- 综合空间和非空间数据输入用于全面分析.
- 使用了有关燃烧区域,燃料类型和燃料负载的最新数据.
- 模拟的燃料湿度,燃烧效率和消耗,考虑到气象因素和燃烧阶段.
主要成果:
- 意大利平均每年温室气体和颗粒物排放量为2621 Gg yr-1 .
- 排放量有很大的差异,从772 Gg年-1 (2013) 到7020 Gg年-1 (2007).
- 宽叶森林,灌木和农业用地占火灾总排放量的76%.
结论:
- 综合建模方法提高了对排放估计的信心.
- 结果与全球和国家库存有很好的一致性,特别是在CO2和颗粒物方面.
- 调查结果支持对空气质量管理和火灾影响减轻政策的决策.
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