马来西亚的工业化,全球化,ICT和环境退化:频域分析
Kizito Uyi Ehigiamusoe1, Hooi Hooi Lean2, Marina Mustapha3
1TIFIES Research Group and Southampton Malaysia Business School, University of Southampton, Malaysia.
Heliyon
|October 25, 2023
概括
工业化,全球化和信息通信技术 (ICT) 显著推动了环境退化,特别是马来西亚的碳排放. 解决这些因素的政策对于实现绿色经济至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 马来西亚的经济发展经历了快速的工业化和全球化.
- 信息通信技术 (ICT) 在环境影响中的作用越来越重要.
- 了解这些驱动因素与环境退化之间的联系对于制定政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查工业化,全球化,ICT和马来西亚环境退化 (1970-2019) 之间的因果关系.
- 区分永久和临时的因果关系.
- 为实现绿色经济的战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 频域中的格兰杰因果关系,以区分永久性/临时性因果关系.
- 矢量错误纠正模型 (VECM) 和变量分解.
- 分析使用碳排放和生态足迹作为环境指标.
主要成果:
- 证实了变量之间的共同整合.
- 显著的长期和短期因果关系从工业化,全球化和ICT到碳排放.
- 生态足迹的因果关系不那么明显;ICT的影响在高频率时更强烈.
结论:
- 工业化,全球化和ICT是环境退化,特别是碳排放的关键决定因素.
- 这些因素在很大程度上解释了环境退化预测误差差异.
- 建议针对工业化,全球化和ICT的政策干预措施,以减轻环境影响和实现绿色经济.
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