在结构变化,技术创新和贸易多样化下分析不对称的生态表现:来自美国的新见解
Md Minhazul Islam1, Paiman Ahmad2, Maria Shabir3
1School of Economics and Trade, Hunan University, Changsha, 410012, Hunan, China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|October 25, 2023
概括
贸易多样化和技术创新减少了生态足迹,而航空运输对其产生了不同的影响. 经济复杂性也有助于环境保护,指导美国的可持续发展政策.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 可持续性研究 可持续性研究
背景情况:
- 生态足迹是环境压力的关键指标.
- 了解生态足迹的驱动因素对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 全球化,技术进步和经济结构显著影响环境影响.
研究的目的:
- 研究贸易多样化,航空运输,技术创新和经济复杂性对美国生态足迹的长期和短期影响.
- 分析这些变量与生态足迹之间的不对称效应和共同整合关系.
- 为减少生态足迹和促进可持续发展提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 时间序列单位根测试 (有或没有结构断裂) 来评估变量的静止性.
- 沃尔德和非线性自回归分布式滞后 (NARDL) 绑定测试对不对称性和协同集成.
- 非线性自回归分布式滞后 (NARDL) 模型用于估计短期和长期系数.
主要成果:
- 积极的贸易多样化减少了长期的生态足迹;负面的冲击增加了短期的生态足迹.
- 积极的空中运输冲击增加了长期和短期的生态足迹;负面的冲击减少了长期和短期的生态足迹.
- 技术创新和经济复杂性对环境产生积极影响,从长远来看减少了生态足迹.
结论:
- 建议贸易同步,协调贸易战略和投资技术创新,以减少生态足迹.
- 鼓励数字经济,绿色转型和工业聚居对于美国的可持续发展至关重要.
- 政策干预应考虑经济活动对环境可持续性的不同短期和长期影响.
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