美国进攻武器禁令对儿科有益性的回顾性证据作为实施更有效的禁令的理由
Archie Bleyer1, Stuart E Siegel2, Charles R Thomas3
1Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR, USA; University of Texas McGovern Medical School, Houston, TX, USA.
Journal of the National Medical Association
|October 25, 2023
概括
美国联邦突击武器禁令 (FAWB) 与儿童枪支死亡人数的显著下降有关. 这种保护效应在人口统计学中观察到,与手枪制造减少相关.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
背景情况:
- 自1981年以来,美国儿童和青少年的枪支死亡率一直在跟踪.
- 从1994年至2004年美国联邦进攻武器禁令 (FAWB) 之前,期间和之后的时期,可以分析趋势.
研究的目的:
- 评估联邦突击武器禁令 (FAWB) 对儿童和青少年枪支死亡率的影响.
- 为了确定与FAWB的立法时期有关的枪支死亡率的趋势.
主要方法:
- 在疾病控制和预防中心的数据上使用结点回归分析.
- 评估了1981-2020年美国国家和地区枪支死亡率趋势.
主要成果:
- 在FAWB期间,全国0-14岁儿童的枪支死亡率在指数级增长后下降,然后在禁令后再次增加 (p<0.001).
- 这种减少发生在所有性别,地区和主要种族/种族小组,特别是非西班牙裔黑人,在FAWB开始后的1-3年内.
- 在FAWB期间,枪支死亡人数的下降与手枪制造业减少有很强的相关性.
结论:
- 似乎FAWB对减少儿童和年轻青少年枪支死亡有有益影响.
- 包括进攻性武器禁令在内的立法可能对减轻不同的人口统计数据中年轻人群的枪支死亡率和伤害至关重要.
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