农村电气化的改变对印度农业的影响
Sudatta Ray1,2, Hemant K Pullabhotla3
1Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore. sray@nus.edu.sg.
Nature communications
|October 25, 2023
概括
印度 印度 印度
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
- 能源政策 能源政策
背景情况:
- 发展中国家的农村电气化政策往往优先考虑家庭电力而不是生产部门.
- 这种不平衡可能会对农业发展产生负面影响,农业发展是一个重要的经济驱动力.
- 印度的农业增长在很大程度上依赖于电气地下水灌.
研究的目的:
- 检查印度农村电气化优先事项从农业转向家庭电力的后果.
- 量化这一政策转变对农业发展,特别是地下水灌的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用一个新建的面板数据集,跨越了三十年的分析.
- 在21世纪初的政策转变之前和之后,在电气化地下水灌的地区,电气化地下水灌的比较收益.
- 采用计量经济学分析来估计农村家庭电气化对农业成果的影响.
主要成果:
- 在政策转变后电气化的地区在电气化地下水灌方面取得的收益明显较低.
- 电气化100个农村家庭与新电气化地区的仅有两个额外的电气化井有关,而在政策前的地区则是16个.
- 如果没有政策转变,新电气化的地区可能会看到近20%的干旱季灌农田.
结论:
- 农村电气化政策优先事项的转移,远离农业,阻碍了印度的灌发展.
- 补充家庭电气化,支持农业等产生收入的部门,对于平衡的农村经济增长至关重要.
- 重新审视电气化战略以支持生产用途对于可持续的农村发展至关重要.
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