子,子和子:因果模两可的统计语言可以提高研究质量和政策相关性的感知
Daniela Alvarez-Vargas1, David Braithwaite2, Hugues Lortie-Forgues3
1School of Education, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California, United States of America.
PloS one
|October 26, 2023
概括
心理学研究经常使用模两可的统计语言,这可能会膨胀政策建议. 这项研究发现,模两可的语言,而不是直接的因果语言,提高了研究质量的感知和对政策影响的支持.
科学领域:
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 研究方法研究方法研究方法学
背景情况:
- 心理学中的一个常见做法是,在非实验性研究中使用因果模两可的统计语言.
- 这种语言规范可能会阻碍对因果假设的批判性评估,并促进基于对非实验数据的因果解释的政策建议的接受.
研究的目的:
- 调查因果模两可与直接因果语言对非实验研究感知质量和政策支持的影响.
- 确定使用统计语言而不是因果语言是否会影响接受隐式因果结论.
主要方法:
- 对142名心理学专业人员 (教师,博士后,博士生) 进行了预先注册的实验.
- 参与者评价了使用因果模两可的统计语言或直接的因果语言描述的假设研究.
主要成果:
- 与简单的因果语言相比,用因果模两可的语言描述的研究的质量被评为更高.
- 模两可的语言导致类似或增加对政策建议的支持,这与预期相反.
结论:
- 在非实验性心理学研究中使用统计语言,而不是明确的因果语言,不会减少,甚至可能增加对因果结论和政策建议的感知支持.
- 这突显了研究结果如何解释和应用的潜在偏见,特别是在政策背景下.
相关概念视频
Statistical Significance
20.2K
Once data is collected from both the experimental and the control groups, a statistical analysis is conducted to find out if there are meaningful differences between the two groups. A statistical analysis determines how likely any difference found is due to chance (and thus not meaningful). In psychology, group differences are considered meaningful, or significant, if the odds that these differences occurred by chance alone are 5 percent or less. Stated another way, if we repeated this...
20.2K
Study Design in Statistics
8.2K
A study design is a set of techniques that allow a researcher to collect and analyze data from different variables defined for a specific research problem. Statistics is commonly for effective study design and more robust experiments,
Does aspirin reduce the risk of heart attacks? Is one brand of fertilizer more effective at growing roses than another? Is fatigue as dangerous to a driver as the influence of alcohol? Questions like these are answered using randomized experiments with proper...
Does aspirin reduce the risk of heart attacks? Is one brand of fertilizer more effective at growing roses than another? Is fatigue as dangerous to a driver as the influence of alcohol? Questions like these are answered using randomized experiments with proper...
8.2K
Bias
4.3K
Bias refers to any tendency that prevents a question from being considered unprejudiced. In research, bias occurs when one outcome or answer is selected or encouraged over others in sampling or testing. Bias can occur during any research phase, including study design, data collection, analysis, and publication.
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
4.3K
Types of Biopharmaceutical Studies: Controlled and Non-Controlled Approaches
133
Biopharmaceutical studies constitute a vital field aiming to enhance drug delivery methods and refine therapeutic approaches, drawing upon diverse interdisciplinary knowledge. In research methodologies, the choice between controlled and non-controlled studies significantly influences the study's reliability and accuracy.
Non-controlled studies, commonly employed for initial exploration, lack a control group, rendering them susceptible to biases and external influences. In contrast,...
Non-controlled studies, commonly employed for initial exploration, lack a control group, rendering them susceptible to biases and external influences. In contrast,...
133
Criteria for Causality: Bradford Hill Criteria - II
331
The Bradford Hill criteria serve as guidelines for establishing causative links in epidemiological research. Beyond Strength, Consistency, Specificity, and Temporality, key criteria also include Biological Gradient, Plausibility, Coherence, Experiment, and Analogy. These principles assist scientists in assessing the likelihood of causation in complex biological contexts. Below is a summary of these concepts:
331
Causality in Epidemiology
439
Causality or causation is a fundamental concept in epidemiology, vital for understanding the relationships between various factors and health outcomes. Despite its importance, there's no single, universally accepted definition of causality within the discipline. Drawing from a systematic review, causality in epidemiology encompasses several definitions, including production, necessary and sufficient, sufficient-component, counterfactual, and probabilistic models. Each has its strengths and...
439


