验证地震发生时的强度依赖
Giuseppe Petrillo1, Jiancang Zhuang1
1The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Research Organization of Information and Systems, 10-3 Midoricho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190-0014, Japan.
Physical review letters
|October 28, 2023
概括
在地震触发中的强度依赖性受到辩论. 这项研究拒绝了使用合成和真实地震数据的幅度相关假设,建议它.
科学领域:
- 地震学 地震学
- 地震科学 地震科学 地震科学
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 据报道,地震触发的强度依赖,影响了地震的可预测性.
- 这种相关性的原因是有争议的,其中可能包括物理过程或数据不完整性 (缺少短期余震).
研究的目的:
- 调查和解决围绕地震触发大小依赖的争论.
- 要确定地震强度之间的相关性是物理现象还是不完整的地震目录的工件.
主要方法:
- 通过模拟地震统计数据的数值模型生成的合成地震目录的分析.
- 将随机分类方法应用于Amatrice-Norcia (2016) 序列的高分辨率地震目录.
- 将分析重点放在超过确定完整度的大小的事件上,以确保数据可靠性.
主要成果:
- 该研究没有发现统计学上有意义的证据来支持地震触发的大小相关性.
- 对合成和现实世界地震数据的分析导致拒绝大小相关假设.
结论:
- 在地震触发过程中观察到的大小依赖可能不是地震过程的物理特征.
- 数据的不完整性,特别是短期余震的遗漏,可能解释了以前关于大小相关性的报道.
- 这一发现对理解地震可预测性和目录完整性有意义.
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