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一个新的神经进化框架,用于预测钻井操作中的钻头重量
Masrour Dowlatabadi1, Saeed Azizi2, Mohsen Dehbashi3
1Department of Electrical Engineering, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran. masror.dolatabadi@srbiau.ac.ir.
Scientific reports
|October 29, 2023
概括
这项研究表明,基于生物地理学的优化 (BBO) 显著提高了人工神经网络 (ANN) 估计比特重量 (WOB) 的性能. 与其他方法相比,BBO-ANN模型提供了更高的精度,提高了钻井效率.
科学领域:
- 石油工程是石油工程中的一个.
- 机器学习应用 机器学习应用
- 优化算法 优化算法
背景情况:
- 精确估计比特重量 (WOB) 对于优化钻井操作和防止设备损坏至关重要.
- 传统方法可能缺乏复杂钻井动态所需的精度.
- 人工神经网络 (ANN) 是有前途的,但需要有效的训练优化.
研究的目的:
- 用灰狼优化 (GWO),基于生物地理的优化 (BBO) 和Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) 训练的ANN进行WOB估计的性能比较.
- 评估输入变量选择对模型准确性和训练时间的影响.
- 将优化的ANN模型与其他已建立的回归技术进行基准测试.
主要方法:
- 使用钻探数据 (深度,速度,ROP,流量) 开发和验证ANN模型 (LM-ANN,GWO-ANN,BBO-ANN).
- 应用相关性测试以确定影响WOB的关键输入变量.
- 使用平均平方误差 (MSE) 和平均绝对误差 (MAE) 标准评估模型性能.
主要成果:
- GWO和BBO算法提高了ANN的准确性,减少了培训MSE的14.62%和24.90%.
- 比起GWO-ANN和LM-ANN,BBO-ANN表现优越,在测试阶段预测错误较低.
- 使用所有四个输入变量,BBO-ANN产生了最准确的WOB预测,尽管训练时间略有增加.
结论:
- 基于生物地理的优化是训练ANN准确预测比特重量的高效方法.
- BBO-ANN模型显著优于多重线性回归,支持向量回归,ANFIS和GMDH.
- 优化的ANN模型,特别是BBO-ANN,为钻井操作中的实时WOB估计提供了强大的解决方案.
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