繁荣或乞讨你的邻居:自由贸易区对工业政策的影响
Jane Du1, Cheng King2, Xinxiang Shi3
1The China Institute, SOAS, University of London, London, United Kingdom.
PloS one
|October 30, 2023
概括
自由贸易区 (FTZ) 吸引寻求更高回报的企业,可能导致行业"空洞化"并影响区域增长. 长期的结果取决于在制造业的动态收益与资源重新分配损失的平衡.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 区域科学 地区科学
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
背景情况:
- 自由贸易区 (FTZ) 提供机构优势,吸引投资和企业迁移.
- 在自由贸易区内产业的集中可能会导致大量的资源重新分配.
- 这种重新分配可能会对现有的区域产业产生负面影响,产生"乞邻居"效应.
研究的目的:
- 分析公司集中在自由贸易区的经济影响.
- 调查非FTZ行业"空洞化"效应的可能性.
- 评估自由贸易区发展对地区长期增长的影响.
主要方法:
- 在自由贸易区框架内分析行业定位决策.
- 对资源重新分配和生产力转移的经济建模.
- 制造业部门的静态损失与动态收益的评估.
主要成果:
- 企业战略性地定位在自由贸易区,以提高投资回报.
- 工业集中在自由贸易区可以对现有行业产生不利的"空洞化"效应.
- 区域增长结果取决于短期资源转移和长期制造业收益之间的平衡.
结论:
- 自由贸易区的发展具有复杂的经济动态.
- 需要谨慎管理,以减轻负面外部效应,如行业空洞化.
- 长期的区域繁荣取决于在不断变化的制造业环境中促进动态收益.
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