基于自然的解决方案对于将巴西置于到2050年实现净零排放的道路上至关重要
Aline C Soterroni1,2,3, Mariana Império4, Marluce C Scarabello5,6
1Nature-based Solutions Initiative, Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Global change biology
|October 31, 2023
概括
巴西可以通过优先考虑生态系统保护和恢复而不是昂贵的工程解决方案,实现其2050年净零温室气体 (GHG) 排放承诺. 在巴西实施巴西.
科学领域:
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 环境政策 环境政策
- 生态系统管理 生态系统管理
背景情况:
- 超过130个国家的目标是到2050年实现净零排放,但强有力的政策往往缺乏.
- 巴西承诺到2050年实现净零温室气体 (GHG) 排放.
研究的目的:
- 评估巴西目前和预计的政策是否能够实现其2050年净零温室气体排放目标.
- 量化基于自然和工程解决方案对巴西气候减缓努力的贡献.
主要方法:
- 详细的区域综合评估建模.
- 通过碳捕获和储存来量化生态系统保护,恢复和生物能源.
主要成果:
- 生态系统保护是巴西最关键和最具成本效益的减缓气候变化的措施.
- 充分实施巴西的森林法典 (FC) 实现了2030年的目标,并将2050年的排放差距减少38%.
- FC与零森林砍伐和生态系统恢复相结合,将2050年的差距减少62%,使巴西在2040年实现净零的轨道上.
结论:
- 依赖不成熟的工程解决方案危及巴西的净零承诺.
- 土地利用部门减缓减少了对能源部门昂贵工程解决方案的需求.
- 巴西必须加强政策超越目前的措施,以实现气候目标,调整目标,建立弹性,并制生物多样性丧失.
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