调查EKC假设与分类能源使用和多部门生产
Anis Omri1, Sabrine Dhahri2, Hatem Afi3
1Department of Business Administration, College of Business and Economics, Qassim University, Buraidah, Saudi Arabia. a.omri@qu.edu.sa.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|November 1, 2023
概括
中东和北非国家的经济增长对碳排放产生了重大影响,工业和服务业是其中的主要贡献者. 转向可再生能源对于减少排放至关重要,而非可再生能源则加剧了这个问题.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 中东和北非经济体面临与碳排放和能源消费模式相关的经济波动.
- 了解碳排放的驱动因素对于该地区的可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查影响中东和北非经济体碳排放的因素,重点关注经济增长 (按部门分类) 和能源使用 (可再生能源与非可再生能源).
- 分析城市化和贸易开放在MENA国家环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 框架中的作用.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自16个MENA国家的面板数据,涵盖了1990-2018年.
- 雇员平均增值组 (AMG) 和共同相关效应平均组 (CCE-MG) 估计器来评估短期和长期系数.
- 进行了格兰杰因果关系测试,以确定变量之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 环境库兹涅茨曲线 (EKC) 假设在人均GDP的总体水平上得到了验证,但部门分析显示,工业和服务部门是碳排放的主要驱动因素.
- 非可再生能源的消费增加了碳排放,而可再生能源的消费减少了碳排放.
- 证实了排放与GDP (总和部门) 以及排放与可再生能源之间的双向因果关系. 观察到非可再生能源与排放之间的短期单向因果关系.
结论:
- 政策干预应优先考虑中东和北非经济体的工业和服务部门的减排.
- 增加可再生能源在能源结构中的份额是减轻碳排放和促进可持续增长的关键战略.
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