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COVID-19大流行和金融市场波动:一个定量回归方法
Sabeeh Ullah1, Sumaira Khan2, Nazia Iqbal Hashmi3
1Institute of Business and Management Sciences (IBMS), Faculty of Management & Computer Sciences (FMCS), The University of Agriculture, Peshawar, Pakistan.
Heliyon
|November 2, 2023
概括
随着COVID-19的流行,全球市场的波动性显著增加,影响了新兴经济体和发达经济体. 增加的病例和死亡与更高的市场不稳定性相关,需要协调政府行动和积极的政策.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 金融 金融 金融 金融 金融
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- COVID-19大流行给全球金融市场带来了前所未有的挑战.
- 了解大流行对市场波动的影响对于经济稳定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查COVID-19大流行指标 (病例和死亡) 与全球市场波动之间的关系.
- 分析发达市场和新兴市场之间的这种联系.
主要方法:
- 基于2020年1月1日至12月12日的COVID-19病例和死亡人数,利用了30个国家的样本.
- 雇员小组估计的一般化最小方位 (Panel-EGLS) 和小组量子位回归框架.
- 分析了对整体,发达和新兴市场子样本的影响.
主要成果:
- 新的COVID-19病例和死亡都对所有模型和量度的市场波动产生了积极的影响.
- 这种COVID-19和市场波动之间的正相关性在发达市场和新兴市场都是一致的.
- 结果表明,随着COVID-19指标的上升,平均和上等量级水平的波动性增加.
结论:
- COVID-19 流行病明显增加了全球市场的波动性.
- 全球政府的协调行动和积极的货币政策对于卫生危机期间的市场稳定至关重要.
- 调查结果强调了为未来的流行病做好准备的必要性,以减轻经济中断.
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