南半球近期全球供水量下降的主要因素
Yongqiang Zhang1, Congcong Li2,3, Francis H S Chiew3
1Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
概括
全球水资源供应正在下降,主要是由于厄尔尼诺-南方振荡等气候模式. 这种趋势影响了南美,非洲和澳大利亚等地区.
科学领域:
- 水文学
- 气候科学
- 环境科学
背景情况:
- 全球陆地水对于人类社会和生态系统至关重要.
- 近几十年来, 全球水资源的供应发生了模糊的变化.
- 了解这些变化对于资源管理和气候适应至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化过去二十年 (2001-2020年) 的全球陆地水资源供应变化.
- 确定这些变化的主要区域和驱动因素.
- 评估气候模式对水供应趋势的作用.
主要方法:
- 使用了一组观测数据.
- 分析了2001年至2020年陆地水资源供应的趋势.
- 研究气候模式的影响,特别是厄尔尼诺-南方振荡.
主要成果:
- 在南半球,从2001年到2020年,水资源的供应有显著下降趋势.
- 减少的主要地区包括南美,西南非洲和西北澳大利亚.
- 北半球的区域差异在很大程度上取消,导致趋势微不足道.
- 与气候模式相关的降水模式,特别是ENSO,驱动南半球的水变化和趋势.
结论:
- 南半球在全球供水量最近的下降中扮演了主导角色.
- 气候模式,尤其是ENSO,是水资源供应变化的主要驱动因素.
- 这些发现强调了气候变化和陆地水资源的相互联系.
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