在中国成年吸烟者中长期吸烟复发的概率和预测因素:一项纵向研究
Zhongmin Zhang1, Mingzhao Huang1, Ting Chen1
1School of Public Health, Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Occupational Hazard Identification and Control, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Preventive medicine reports
|November 3, 2023
概括
大多数试图戒烟的吸烟者会复发,尤其是在前两年. 年龄,教育和生活方式等因素影响中国成年人的复发风险,饮酒和同居者吸烟是强有力的预测因素.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 戒烟是全球卫生优先事项,但长期复发仍然是一个重大挑战.
- 关于中国人持续戒烟的预测因素的研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 评估中国成年人长期吸烟复发的概率.
- 在这个人口群体中确定与吸烟复发相关的关键因素.
主要方法:
- 利用来自中国家庭小组研究 (2010-2018) 的2378名戒烟成年人的动态队列.
- 采用生命表方法来计算随时间的复发概率.
- 应用多变量互补日志日志生存模型来分析复发预测因素.
主要成果:
- 复发的可能性随着戒断时间的延长而降低 (例如,2年后49.07%到8年后6.63%).
- 累积的8年复发概率为65.89%.
- 与年龄较大 (≥65岁),高等教育,呼吸系统疾病和令人满意的生活方式相关的复发风险降低;与职业声望,饮酒,同居者吸烟和未来信心相关的风险增加.
结论:
- 吸烟复发的可能性随着时间的推移而减少,在戒烟后的头两年内发生的最高率.
- 同居者饮酒和吸烟是中国戒烟者复发的重要预测因素.
- 这些发现与之前的研究一致,加强了社会和行为因素在戒烟成功中的重要性.
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