解读人口因素对环境健康的影响,基于中国城市级PM2.5污染
Shuhui Cao1, Dan Wu2, Li Liu3
1School of Environment and Energy, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510006, China.
Journal of environmental management
|November 3, 2023
概括
中国人口增长和老龄化导致超过44,000人过早死亡,抵消了空气质量的改善. 需要针对人口老龄化和大城市制定有针对性的战略,以有效管理空气质量.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 中国最近的空气质量改善计划给健康带来了好处.
- 人口变化带来了复杂性和不确定性,可能会改变这些健康收益.
- 了解人口影响对于有效的环境健康战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个框架来分析人口因素对环境健康结果的影响.
- 量化人口规模,年龄结构和空间分布对健康终点的影响.
- 为中国的有针对性的空气质量管理战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个新的框架来分析人口统计学对环境健康的影响.
- 采用反事实和逐步放松假设策略.
- 量化健康终点变化归因于人口规模,老龄化和空间分布.
主要成果:
- 人口规模的增加和老龄化导致44279292,442人过早死亡,抵消了空气质量的改善.
- 人口空间分布的变化对空气质量相关的健康影响的影响很小.
- 人口统计学对健康结果的影响在各地区分布不均.
结论:
- 人口因素显著抵消了中国空气质量改善带来的健康益处.
- 需要进一步降低PM2.5度.
- 为了成本效益,建议将空气质量管理针对老龄化人口和大城市.
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