一个结合稳定功能来量化对行人和车辆乘客的洪水风险
Barry Evans1, Arthur Lam2, Charles West3
1University of Exeter, Centre for Water Systems, EX4 4QF, UK.
The Science of the total environment
|November 5, 2023
概括
洪水事件对城市人口构成越来越大的风险. 研究表明,被洪水淹没的车辆的乘客在车内面临更大的危险,在固定后,风险会迅速升级.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市水文学 城市水文学
- 风险评估 风险评估
背景情况:
- 由于气候变化和城市化,洪水事件的频率和严重性越来越大.
- 城市地区人口密度的增加加剧了洪水风险.
- 在城市洪水中对车辆乘客和行人同时面临的风险的理解有限.
研究的目的:
- 提出一种评估城市环境中车辆乘客和行人洪水风险的方法.
- 根据车辆的稳定性,推导出对车辆乘客的风险评估概况.
- 分析历史和合成降雨洪水事件期间的潜在风险.
主要方法:
- 开发一种风险评估方法,考虑各种车型的车辆稳定功能.
- 在英国埃克塞特 (2014年) 历史上每20年发生一次洪水事件的分析.
- 模拟一个合成的每100年降雨一次的洪水事件.
主要成果:
- 对于分析的洪水事件,留在车辆中比出车更有风险.
- 在洪水中停滞不前的车辆在大约10分钟内呈现出快速增加的风险.
- 如果个人在等待救援的固定车辆内停留,风险水平会显著升级.
结论:
- 该研究强调了在洪水事件中留在固定车辆内的危险.
- 建议立即撤离车辆以减轻严重风险.
- 调查结果强调了此类风险评估研究对于减少洪水相关人员伤亡的重要性.
相关概念视频
Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment
51
Flood risk assessment involves careful planning and analysis to ensure the safety of communities near water retention structures. Capacity contours are a vital tool in this process, as they illustrate the potential spread of water at specific levels in a given area. In the context of building a bund across a small valley, these contours play a critical role in evaluating the safety of nearby residential areas.In this example, the bund is intended to store stormwater in the valley. The engineers...
51
Routh-Hurwitz Criterion II
260
In the application of the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, two specific scenarios can arise that complicate stability analysis.
The first scenario occurs when a singular zero appears in the first column of the Routh table. This situation creates a division by zero issues. To resolve this, a small positive or negative number, denoted as epsilon (∈), is substituted for the zero. The stability analysis proceeds by assuming a sign for ∈. If ∈ is positive, any sign change in the first...
The first scenario occurs when a singular zero appears in the first column of the Routh table. This situation creates a division by zero issues. To resolve this, a small positive or negative number, denoted as epsilon (∈), is substituted for the zero. The stability analysis proceeds by assuming a sign for ∈. If ∈ is positive, any sign change in the first...
260
Hazard Rate
115
The hazard rate, also known as the hazard function or failure rate, is a statistical measure used to describe the instantaneous rate at which an event occurs, given that the event has not yet happened. From a probabilistic perspective, it represents the likelihood that a subject will experience the event in a very small time interval, conditional on surviving up to the beginning of that interval. In terms of frequency, the hazard rate can be viewed as the ratio of the number of events to the...
115
Routh-Hurwitz Criterion I
254
Consider an electrical power grid, where stability is essential to prevent blackouts. The Routh-Hurwitz criterion is a valuable tool for assessing system stability under varying load conditions or faults. By analyzing the closed-loop transfer function, the Routh-Hurwitz criterion helps determine whether the system remains stable.
To apply the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, a Routh table is constructed. The table's rows are labeled with powers of the complex frequency variable s, starting from the...
To apply the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, a Routh table is constructed. The table's rows are labeled with powers of the complex frequency variable s, starting from the...
254
Stability
130
The time response of a linear time-invariant (LTI) system can be divided into transient and steady-state responses. The transient response represents the system's initial reaction to a change in input and diminishes to zero over time. In contrast, the steady-state response is the behavior that persists after the transient effects have faded.
The stability of an LTI system is determined by the roots of its characteristic equation, known as poles. A system is stable if it produces a bounded...
The stability of an LTI system is determined by the roots of its characteristic equation, known as poles. A system is stable if it produces a bounded...
130
Design Consideration
192
Designing a structure involves a series of considerations, primarily the material's ultimate strength, calculated through tests that measure changes under increased force until the material reaches its breaking point or limit. The ultimate load, where the material breaks, is divided by its original cross-sectional area, resulting in the ultimate normal stress or strength. The ultimate shearing stress is another significant factor taken into account.
The factor of safety is another key...
The factor of safety is another key...
192


