促进公共共享自行车:从失败的Pronto系统中吸取教训
Feiyang Sun1, Peng Chen2,3, Junfeng Jiao4
1Department of Urban Design and Planning, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
概括
在西雅图,西雅图,西雅图.
科学领域:
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 运输科学 运输科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 西雅图的Pronto自行车共享系统 (2014-2017年) 失败了,需要对导致因素进行分析.
- 了解车站级旅行的产生和吸引力对于未来的城市流动性倡议至关重要.
- 自行车共享系统面临城市基础设施,天气和公共交通集成的挑战.
研究的目的:
- 确定影响共享自行车旅行产生和吸引力的关键因素.
- 分析土地使用,道路设计,海拔,公共汽车行程,天气和时间动态的影响.
- 为改善未来共享自行车系统可行性提供数据驱动的见解.
主要方法:
- 用一个通用的添加混合模型 (GAMM) 来解释时间自相关性和季节性.
- 分析的重点是三个小时间隔的自行车接送和返回在每个对接站.
- 模型对总计数,用户类型和特定位置的旅行数据进行了估计.
主要成果:
- 丘陵地形和雨天会对共享单车的使用产生负面影响,这证实了先前的假设.
- 大学区的用户,可能是学生,更喜欢家庭密度和住宅用地密度较高的地区.
- 自行车共享的使用与附近的公共汽车旅行频率有积极的相关性,尽管一些用户在高峰/雨季期间转乘公共汽车.
结论:
- 自行车共享的成功受到地形,天气和公共交通附近的影响.
- 针对特定的用户人口统计和土地使用模式可以提高乘客人数.
- 综合的城市移动战略,考虑到交通互动,对于可持续的共享自行车至关重要.
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