在中年和老年人中发生远程甲状腺瘤转移的危险因素
1Ya'an Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Ya'an, China.
Medicine
|November 7, 2023
概括
这项研究开发了一种名谱,用于预测中年和老年肌肉肉瘤患者的远程转移 (DM). 确定的主要风险因素包括婚姻状况,瘤等级和晚期阶段,有助于早期诊断和改善预后.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 医学统计 医学统计
- 癌症流行病学 癌症流行病学
背景情况:
- 冠状肉瘤是一种常见的原发性骨癌,特别是在老年人中.
- 远程转移 (DM) 显著恶化了冠状动脉瘤患者的预后.
- 准确预测DM对于中年和老年患者的及时干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证中年和老年冠状腺癌患者远程转移 (DM) 的预测性名谱.
- 在这个患者队列中确定与DM相关的独立风险因素.
主要方法:
- 利用监测,流行病学和最终结果 (SEER) 数据库 (2004-2015) 的数据进行培训和内部验证.
- 从中国一家三级医院 (2012-2021) 收集的外部验证数据.
- 采用后勤回归,接收器操作特征 (ROC) 曲线,校准曲线和决策曲线分析.
主要成果:
- 鉴定了婚姻状况,非分化冠状腺瘤组织学,高瘤等级,T3阶段和N1阶段作为DM的独立风险因素.
- 诺米图表显示出强大的预测准确性,AUC值为0.857 (训练),0.820 (内部验证) 和0.859 (外部验证).
- 校准和决策曲线分析证实了名图在预测DM方面的可靠性.
结论:
- 开发的诺米图准确地预测了中年和老年冠状腺癌患者的远程转移.
- 临床医生应考虑风险分层的确定的风险因素 (婚姻状况,组织学,年级,T3/N1阶段).
- 这种工具可以帮助早期诊断和个性化治疗策略,为chondrosarcoma.
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