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在受影响者和媒体战略影响下建模意见动态
Luzie Helfmann1,2, Nataša Djurdjevac Conrad1, Philipp Lorenz-Spreen3
1Department Modelling and Simulation of Complex Processes, Zuse Institute Berlin, 14195, Berlin, Germany.
Scientific reports
|November 8, 2023
概括
一个新的意见动态框架模拟了个人,媒体和影响者如何塑造公共话语. 影响者策略可以分散意见,但媒体和控制策略可以稳定景观.
科学领域:
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 数学建模的数学建模
背景情况:
- 数字通信和社交媒体增加了公共话语的复杂性.
- 传统媒体和影响者在论形成中的作用尚未得到充分理解.
- 注意力经济的激励结构影响了参与策略.
研究的目的:
- 为论动态提出一个新的框架,以适应不同的参与者和战略.
- 分析影响者和媒体对论形成的影响.
- 调查管理意见碎片化的策略.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个灵活的意见动态框架.
- 利用数值模拟来探索不同的场景.
- 采用平均场近似与部分微分方程进行大规模分析.
主要成果:
- 影响者可以创建碎片化,短暂的意见集群.
- 传统媒体有助于更稳定的论地位.
- 极端的立场可以成为影响者获得追随者的有益策略.
- 最佳的控制策略可以抵消碎片化.
结论:
- 该框架提供了一种灵活的方法来建模意见动态.
- 在复杂的信息生态系统中,了解参与者的角色和策略至关重要.
- 干预措施可以缓解意见格局的碎片化.
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