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时空模式和预测的景观生态安全在Xishuangbanna从1996-2030年
Zhuoya Zhang1, Hailong Ge1, Xiaona Li1
1Faculty of Geography and Ecotourism, Southwest Forestry University, Kunming, China.
PloS one
|November 8, 2023
概括
希苏安班纳 (Xishuangbanna) 是一个
科学领域:
- 生态安全评估 生态安全评估
- 景观生态学 景观生态学
- 时间空间分析.
背景情况:
- 西舒旺巴纳的景观生态安全对南亚和东南亚至关重要.
- 土地使用变化影响区域生态完整性.
- 了解趋势对于跨境环境管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从1996年到2030年,分析Xishuangbanna的景观生态安全的时空趋势.
- 根据土地使用变化预测未来的景观生态安全.
- 确定易受生态退化影响的地区.
主要方法:
- 整合3S技术 (遥感,地理信息系统,GPS).
- 景观生态理论的应用. 景观生态理论的应用.
- 使用灰色预测模型来预测未来的趋势.
主要成果:
- 森林面积减少;建筑用地碎片化增加.
- 生态安全最初良好,然后下降,在2010年有所改善,但到2017年恶化.
- 未来的预测表明,低级生态区域 (IV和V) 的增加,特别是向东南转移.
结论:
- 西苏班纳的景观生态安全性显示出显著的时空演变.
- 预计生态安全问题将加剧,特别是在特定的边境和中部地区.
- 景观生态安全退化的明显东南趋势需要有针对性的保护工作.
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