探讨土耳其的可持续能源消费和社会冲突风险:从新型多解决方案ARDL方法的洞察力
Hassen Mohamed1, Foued Saâdaoui2
1University of Manouba, ESCT, QUARG UR17ES26, Campus Universitaire de Manouba, Tunis, Tunisia.
概括
非可再生能源在土耳其助长了恐怖主义,而可再生能源和贸易开放减少了恐怖主义. 教育在这种复杂的关系中也发挥着作用,为可持续发展和冲突解决提供了洞察力.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 能源研究 能源研究
背景情况:
- 非可再生能源与全球冲突和恐怖主义有关.
- 土耳其能源系统与恐怖主义之间的具体关系未得到充分研究.
研究的目的:
- 调查土耳其 (1980-2016) 的可再生能源消费,化石燃料,恐怖主义,教育,贸易开放和地缘政治风险之间的因果关系.
- 分析这些变量之间的短期和长期关系.
主要方法:
- 自行回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 方法.
- 格兰杰因果关系测试.
- 多分辨率ARDL用于强度测试.
主要成果:
- 所有变量之间存在长期关系,特别是恐怖主义,可再生能源和教育.
- 长期来看,非可再生能源的消费与恐怖主义的增加有关.
- 可再生能源和贸易开放与减少恐怖主义有关.
结论:
- 可再生能源和贸易开放是打击土耳其恐怖主义的有效工具.
- 调查结果对决策者在可持续发展和冲突解决方面有影响.
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