电动汽车充电器的扩展行为和解决基础设施缺口的路线图
Alexius Wadell1,2, Matthew Guttenberg1,2, Christopher P Kempes3
1Department of Mechanical Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
PNAS nexus
|November 9, 2023
概括
估计电动汽车 (EV) 基础设施需求显示,与加油站不同,EV充电站与人口规模超级线性. 这项研究为未来的电动汽车基础设施扩建提供了一个框架.
科学领域:
- 基础设施规划 基础设施规划
- 交通运输电气化的电气化
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
背景情况:
- 广泛采用电动汽车 (EV) 需要大量开发充电基础设施.
- 目前的基础设施扩展模型可能无法准确预测未来的电动汽车充电需求.
研究的目的:
- 以县级分辨率估计美国电动汽车 (EV) 充电基础设施需求.
- 分析电动汽车充电站与车辆登记和人口相关的扩展模式.
- 确定电动汽车基础设施缺口,并为扩张提供路线图.
主要方法:
- 制定充电基础设施需求作为一个扩展分析问题.
- 利用县级数据进行美国基础设施估计.
- 电动汽车充电站与加油站的比较规模,基于车辆登记和人口.
主要成果:
- 汽油和电动汽车充电站表现出与车辆注册的次线性扩展,与典型的基础设施扩展一致.
- 电动汽车充电站表现出令人惊的超线性扩展,与县内的人口不同,与加油站不同.
- 在县级量化了电动汽车基础设施缺口.
结论:
- 电动汽车充电站与人口的超线性扩展凸显了电动汽车和基础设施发展的早期阶段.
- 该研究为估计未来电动汽车基础设施需求提供了一个框架.
- 根据县级差距分析,确定了未来电动汽车基础设施扩建的路线图.
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