社交距离政策对劳动力市场结果的影响
Sumedha Gupta1, Laura Montenovo2, Thuy Nguyen3
1Department of Economics, IUPUI, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
概括
美国的失业救济金鼓励在减少工作时间的情况下失去工作. 由于COVID-19的政策,特别是居家禁令,导致了大量的失业,对非基本工作人员的影响最大.
科学领域:
- 劳动经济学 劳动经济学
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 美国失业保险主要涵盖失业,而不是减少工作时间.
- 随着COVID-19大流行和相关的关闭政策,创造了前所未有的劳动力市场中断.
研究的目的:
- 分析COVID-19关闭政策对美国劳动力市场利率的影响 (失业与减少工作时间).
- 量化国家居家禁令对就业率和收入的影响.
主要方法:
- 差异差异 (DiD) 估计利用国家关闭政策时间变化的差异.
- 2020年3月12日至4月12日期间劳动力市场反应的分析.
主要成果:
- 就业率下降了1.7个百分点,每增加10天的州停留在家的命令.
- 劳动力市场的调整主要是通过彻底的失业 (广泛的利率) 而不是减少工作时间.
- 百分之四十的失业源于全国性的冲击;其余部分与社会距离政策有关,特别是对于非必要的工人.
结论:
- 失业保险激励措施塑造了劳动力市场对COVID-19冲击的反应.
- 停留在家的命令对失业做出了重大贡献,不成比例地影响了非必要的工人.
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