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Updated: Jul 11, 2025

An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
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An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model

Published on: September 16, 2022

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当专家预测失败的时候

Igor Grossmann1, Michael E W Varnum2, Cendri A Hutcherson3

  • 1Department of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, N2L 3G1, ON, Canada.

Trends in cognitive sciences
|November 10, 2023
PubMed
概括

社会科学家擅长实验室预测,但由于过于简单化的模型,他们与现实世界的社会变化作斗争. 将基础模型与时间序列数据集成,可以提高社会科学预测的准确性.

关键词:
有关因果关系的模型.专家的判断 专家的判断分析的分析水平.建模复杂性的复杂性社会科学中的预测能力.社会的变化是社会变化.

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