来自伊朗的牛奶中的酸盐度和健康风险:来自决定性,概率和人工智能建模的见解
Amin Mohammadpour1, Mohammad Reza Samaei2, Mohammad Ali Baghapour2
1Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Health, Student Research Committee, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.
Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)
|November 11, 2023
概括
牛奶中酸盐的含量在农业系统之间没有显著差异. 儿童因酸盐消费而面临更高的健康风险 (危险系数),需要监测和预防策略.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 食品安全 食品安全
- 毒理学 毒理学 毒理学
背景情况:
- 过多的酸盐摄入会给人类健康带来风险.
- 牛奶是一种主食,因此其酸盐含量对于饮食健康评估至关重要.
- 了解牛奶中的酸盐含量对于公共卫生和食品安全评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定伊朗法尔斯省传统和工业化农场牛奶中的酸盐度.
- 评估与从牛奶中摄入酸盐的饮食暴露相关的潜在人类健康风险.
- 为了比较人工智能算法在预测健康风险方面的有效性.
主要方法:
- 在70个牛奶样本中分析酸盐度.
- 确定性建模,概率方法和六个人工智能算法的应用.
- 用于风险评估的危险系数 (HQ) 和蒙特卡洛模拟的计算.
主要成果:
- 平均酸盐含量为32.63 mg/L (传统) 和34.95 mg/L (工业化),没有显著差异.
- 儿童的HQ值比成年人 (0.01-0.16) 高 (0.05-0.58),这表明他们的脆弱性更大.
- 酸盐度和消费率是影响儿童和成人HQ的关键因素.
结论:
- 根据目前的标准,在研究区域的牛奶酸盐含量并不构成重大风险,但需要持续监测.
- 儿童更容易受到牛奶酸盐的潜在健康风险,强调需要有针对性的预防措施.
- 人工智能模型,特别是高斯的天真贝斯和极端梯度提升,在食品安全评估中显示出对健康风险预测的前景.
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