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循环的扩散:对人类世的反观点
Timothy M Lenton1, Marten Scheffer2
1Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QE, UK.
概括
强化反循环,涉及火和人类等各种元素,推动了过去的人类革命,进入人类世. 转向可持续循环和优先考虑持续而不是增长是逃避当前环境挑战的关键.
科学领域:
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 进化生物学 进化生物学
- 可持续性科学 可持续性科学
背景情况:
- 人类世的特点是人类驱动的全球环境变化.
- 了解过去人类"革命"的驱动因素对于应对当前的可持续发展挑战至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 研究加强反循环在推动人类重大革命中的作用.
- 提出过渡到可持续系统的战略,以减轻人类世的影响.
主要方法:
- 对关键人类革命 (使用火,农业,复杂状态,工业化) 提出的强化反周期的审查和绘制.
- 分析"周期的扩散"作为革命变革的关键因素.
- 从不可持续的"恶性循环"转向可持续的"良性循环"的概念框架.
主要成果:
- 加强反循环,整合各种元素,在过去的人类革命中至关重要.
- 这些周期建立在彼此之上,导致了当前人类纪的轨迹.
- 这些周期的"传播"和持久性决定了它们的影响.
结论:
- 逃避人类世需要从不可持续的反周期转向可持续的反周期.
- 文化转型是必要的,将持续性 (可持续性) 优先于增长.
- 将非人类元素纳入文化反周期对于长期进步至关重要.
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