贪是多么贪? 贪是多么贪? 一个网络玩具模型,用于评估偏向进化动态的可持续性
V P Weinberger1, N Zalaquett2, S Abades3
1Center for Resilience, Adaptation and Mitigation (CReAM), Universidad Mayor, Temuco, 4801043, Chile.
概括
人类不可持续的资源使用很少超过自然进化. 贪的策略,模仿人类的需求,在超越自然系统性能和稀缺性容忍方面表现出有限的成功. 建议仔细考虑资源开采.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 系统生物学 系统生物学
- 进化生物学 进化生物学
背景情况:
- 现代人类显著改变了全球生物圈,影响了长期的可持续性.
- 不可持续的社会行为源于技术,使得能快速提取能源,超越自然适应.
- 这种动态造成了共同进化的不平衡,挑战了生物圈的弹性.
研究的目的:
- 调查"贪"进化策略对自然系统模型的影响,反映人类需求.
- 评估系统在有偏见的进化压力下的性能和稀缺性耐受性.
- 将这些贪策略的结果与自然进化过程进行比较.
主要方法:
- 开发一种基于的,开放的,基于能源的流动网络玩具模型.
- 模拟四个不同的贪场景,代表人类社会需求.
- 使用四个关键指数分析系统性能:总系统通量 (TST),平均相互信息,上升率和差.
主要成果:
- 贪的策略通常无法超越自然系统进化的性能和稀缺性耐受性.
- 在大多数情况下,贪网络的表现并没有超过自然进化,只有大约三分之一的人表现出微不足道的改善.
- 存在一个潜在的参数空间,局部能量流量增加可以超过自然结果,但特定的网络属性仍然难以捉摸.
结论:
- 由人类驱动的贪策略通常会由于消耗性副产品而降低系统的耐受性和性能.
- 虽然一些本地化的收益是可能的,但总的来说,人力资源分配策略的效果不如自然进化.
- 这些发现强调了在资源开采中需要谨慎,以确保生物圈的可持续性.
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