关于同行影响的扭曲的元分析发现:重新分析
Kimmo Sorjonen1, Gustav Nilsonne1,2,3, Bo Melin1
1Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Heliyon
|November 13, 2023
概括
在观察性研究中,同龄人对青少年行为的影响可能被高估了. 重新分析表明,以前的发现可能是虚假的,突出了证明这种数据的因果关系存在挑战.
科学领域:
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 发展心理学 发展心理学
- 量化心理学 量化心理学
背景情况:
- 同龄人的影响是青少年发育的一个重要因素.
- 之前的元分析,如Giletta等. (2021年),报告了同行对行为的积极影响.
- 在观察数据中的交叉滞后效应的解释方面存在方法方面的担忧.
研究的目的:
- 重新分析关于同行影响的元分析数据.
- 调查同行影响的运作中的潜在扭曲情况.
- 评估关于量化同行影响的说法的有效性.
主要方法:
- 重新分析现有的元分析数据.
- 对受控交叉滞后效应的检查.
- 考虑观察到的效应的替代解释,包括测量误差和回归到平均值.
主要成果:
- 同行影响的操作化由Giletta等. (2021) 可能会产生虚假的结果.
- 控制的交叉滞后效应可能不仅仅代表真正的行为影响.
- 替代的统计文物可以解释此前报告的同行影响.
结论:
- 同行影响的存在不受争议,但通过观察数据的经验证明是具有挑战性的.
- 目前用于观测数据的分析方法可能难以最终确定因果对等效应.
- 需要进一步的研究来开发可靠的方法来评估在发展研究中的同行影响.
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