环境可持续性,非可再生能源消费,地缘政治风险和贸易自由化之间的因果关系是否对巴基斯坦有意义? 来自VECM分析的证据
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Updated: Jul 11, 2025

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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
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1Department of Economics, Comsats University Islamabad, Pakistan.
Heliyon
|November 13, 2023
概括
地缘政治风险,非可再生能源的使用和贸易自由化对环境可持续性产生负面影响. 政策干预对于减轻这些影响和促进可持续发展至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
背景情况:
- 全球地缘政治威胁不断升级,对环境可持续性产生负面影响.
- 在非可再生能源消费,贸易自由化和环境目标之间存在着日益严重的差距.
研究的目的:
- 分析地缘政治风险,非可再生能源使用,贸易自由化和环境可持续性之间的相互联系.
- 调查这些关键因素之间的因果关系.
主要方法:
- 矢量错误纠正模型 (VECM) 的分析.
- 格兰杰因果关系测试.
- 利用了从1980年到2021年的数据.
主要成果:
- 地缘政治风险 (GPR),非可再生能源消费 (NRE) 和工业化 (IND) 对环境可持续性 (ES) 有负面影响.
- 贸易自由化 (TR) 和城市化 (UB) 对ES产生了积极的影响.
- 因果关系分析证实了反效应,并且GPR,NRE和TR导致ES.
结论:
- 政策干预对于解决GPR,NRE和TR对ES的不利影响至关重要.
- 建议包括投资灾难准备,加强区域外交,以及向可再生能源过渡.
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