增长和不平等的权衡消除绝对贫困
Jihoon Min1, Narasimha D Rao1,2
1International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Schlossplatz 1, A-2361, Laxenburg, Austria.
Heliyon
|November 15, 2023
概括
政府可以利用经济增长和适度减少不平等来打击贫困. 印度可以在2030年之前通过适度的变化实现这一目标,而卢旺达需要大幅增长和减少不平等.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
- 社会政策 社会政策 社会政策
背景情况:
- 经济增长,收入不平等和减少贫困之间的联系是复杂的,并未完全理解.
- 现有的研究往往难以量化这些因素之间的精确相互作用.
- 政府在制定消除贫困的政策时面临着挑战,而不会加剧不平等.
研究的目的:
- 建立经济增长,收入不平等 (吉尼指数) 和减贫目标之间的可量化的关系.
- 开发和验证重新分配策略的通用化模型.
- 评估可行的增长再分配情景,以实现到2030年在印度和卢旺达实现可持续发展目标1 (消除极端贫困).
主要方法:
- 导出一个关闭形式的数学关系,将贫困门,吉尼指数变化和必需的国民收入增长联系起来.
- 开发一个通用的再分配模型.
- 与不平等的历史数据对模型的验证.
- 应用该模型模拟印度和卢旺达的消除贫困战略.
主要成果:
- 我们得出了一个公式,它独立于特定的收入分配形状.
- 该模型表明,印度可以在2030年之前消除极端贫困,以适度减少不平等,而单独的增长是不够的.
- 到2030年实现卢旺达的贫困目标将需要特别高的经济增长率和减少不平等.
结论:
- 经济增长本身并不总是足以消除贫困;再分配起着至关重要的作用.
- 针对不同国家环境而定制的增长和再分配战略是必不可少的.
- 该研究为决策者设计有效的减贫计划提供了定量框架.
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