在中国,电力消耗与经济之间的全尺度增长关系
Yi Qi1, Mengyuan Tang1, Dongsheng Dang1
1State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Eco-Tech Research Institute, Yinchuan, China.
PloS one
|November 15, 2023
概括
中国的电力消耗和经济增长显示出一种全度关系,空间模式随着时间的推移而变化. 为了协调发展,需要不同的政策.
科学领域:
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 空间分析 空间分析
- 经济地理 经济地理
背景情况:
- 中国的电力行业面临着碳中和目标的新挑战.
- 了解电力消耗与经济发展之间的关系至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查电力消耗与中国经济发展之间的全尺度增长关系.
- 在多个尺度上分析这种关系的时间和空间特征.
主要方法:
- 应用了生物学中的全度增长概念.
- 利用了省级电力消耗和经济发展数据 (1972-2017年).
- 采用空间自相关性分析,分析了GDP电力消耗强度的空间相关性.
主要成果:
- 省GDP的电力消费强度显示了总体分布,当地模式发生了显著变化 (1972-2017年).
- 高高集群减少,而低低集群向南移动.
- 不同增长系数因地区和经济发展阶段而异,模拟的GDP增长从7.4%到20.1%不等,而电力消费增长10%.
结论:
- 电力消耗与经济发展之间的全尺度增长关系在空间上是异质的和动态的.
- 对于区域经济发展和电力消费的差异化监管政策是协调增长的建议.
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