美国各种每小时可靠和净零生产途径的成本比较
Justin M Bracci1,2, Evan D Sherwin1,3, Naomi L Boness4
1Department of Energy Science & Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Nature communications
|November 15, 2023
概括
以负担得起的方式生产净零是脱碳工业的关键. 预计在未来十年内,以电力为基础的方法将比化石燃料更便宜,以获得可靠,低排放的气.
科学领域:
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 化学工程是化学工程的重要组成部分.
- 环境政策 环境政策
背景情况:
- (H2) 是难以减排的行业的关键能源载体.
- 确保可靠,低排放和具有成本效益的气对于减排目标至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个模型来比较从不同的途径生产净零,每小时可靠的的成本.
- 评估在净零约束下不同生产方法的经济可行性.
主要方法:
- 各种生产途径的经济建模.
- 包含负排放技术以减轻净零目标的上游和残留排放.
- 在不同场景和地理区域 (美国各州:加利福尼亚,德克萨斯,纽约) 进行比较成本分析.
主要成果:
- 基于混合电力的生产途径预计将比基于化石的途径更具成本效益 (2.02-$2.88/kg),天然气泄漏率>4% (2.73-$5.94/kg),以实现美国的净零目标.
- 这些发现适用于美国以外的地区,其气候和电网类似.
- 根据美国税法第45V条,只有在不包括体内排放的情况下,电力生产才能与化石燃料具有成本竞争力.
结论:
- 与某些基于化石燃料的方法相比,基于混合动力电力的解决方案为净零提供了更低成本的途径.
- 美国的监管框架显著影响低排放生产的成本竞争力.
- 通过先进的能源解决方案,实现具有成本效益,可靠和净零是可行的.
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