通过半参数模型更仔细地观察风玛丽亚之后的间接死亡原因
1Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico.
Disaster medicine and public health preparedness
|November 16, 2023
概括
风玛丽亚造成了过多的死因,例如阿尔茨海默氏症和心脏病,但不是癌症或意外. 这凸显了需要更好的应急规划,以解决特定的健康漏洞.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 灾难医学 灾难医学
背景情况:
- 自然灾害和紧急情况,如风玛丽亚,可能导致间接死亡,这强调了强有力的应急规划的重要性.
- 虽然已经注意到波多黎各的玛丽亚风的间接死亡率,但具体原因需要详细调查.
研究的目的:
- 分析波多黎各"玛丽亚"风后的特定原因死亡率趋势.
- 确定导致风后死亡人数过多的特定疾病和疾病.
主要方法:
- 利用半参数模型评估因特定原因的死亡率趋势.
- 调整以考虑年内变化,人口流离失所和死亡原因的时间变化的影响.
主要成果:
- 在2017年9月至2018年3月期间,在阿尔茨海默氏症/帕金森病,心脏病,败血症,糖尿病,功能衰竭和肺炎/流感方面观察到显著的过度死亡.
- 在研究期间,没有发现因癌症,高血压,呼吸系统疾病,脑血管疾病,自杀,杀人,摔倒事故或交通事故而导致的显著过度死亡.
结论:
- 特定的非传染性疾病和感染在玛丽亚风后的过度死亡率中起到了显著的作用.
- 某些死亡原因,包括癌症和事故和暴力等外部原因,没有显示过多的死亡率,这表明灾难的不同影响.
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