巴基斯坦粮食价格上和贫困问题
Nadia Shabnam1, Neelam Aurangzeb2, Salma Riaz3
1Department of Health Professions Education, National University of Medical Sciences, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.
PloS one
|November 16, 2023
概括
粮食价格上显著增加了巴基斯坦的贫困,特别是在城市家庭. 有效的战略必须应对价格压力,加强安全网,以保护弱势群体.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 发展经济学 发展经济学
- 贫困研究 贫困研究
背景情况:
- 2008年,全球粮食价格升,导致许多发展中国家的当地价格持续高.
- 尽管总体下降,但大宗商品价格的波动仍然存在,影响了家庭的粮食安全.
- 了解食品价格上对贫困的局部影响对于政策干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析粮食价格上对巴基斯坦基于收入和基于卡路里的贫困的影响.
- 区分粮食价格变化对农村家庭和城市家庭的影响.
- 根据粮食价格冲击,为减轻贫困做出政策建议.
主要方法:
- 用户收入和支出调查 (HIES) 来自巴基斯坦的数据跨越了三个波 (2005-06,2007-08,2010-11).
- 使用二进制物流回归来计算食品的价格弹性.
- 研究了特定食品商品价格 (小麦,大米,牛奶,肉类,水果,豆类) 对家庭贫困状况的影响.
主要成果:
- 谷物,大米和牛奶等关键食品的价格波动与家庭贫困水平有明显的相关性.
- 在基于卡路里的贫困背景下,城市家庭受到粮食价格上的不成比例影响.
- 对食品净消费者的负面影响超过了生产者的利益,导致贫困总体增加.
结论:
- 粮食价格上是巴基斯坦贫困增加的一个重要驱动因素.
- 有针对性的安全网计划,以改善地理重点,对于减轻粮食价格危机的影响至关重要.
- 政府政策应该优先降低小麦,大米和等必需食品的价格,以减轻对穷人的压力.
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