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2006年至2021年江苏省人类牛病的流行病学特征和时间空间聚类分析,2006-2021年江苏省人类牛病
Nan Zhang1, Xin-Yu Fang2, Wei-Zhong Zhou1
1Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, 172, Jiangsu Rd, Nanjing, 210009, Jiangsu Province, China.
Scientific reports
|November 17, 2023
概括
在中国江苏省,百菌病发病率正在上升,特别影响中老年人. 这项研究绘制了其传播的地图,以指导预防工作.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染病监测 传染病监测 传染病
背景情况:
- 牛病在江苏省构成了重大公共卫生挑战.
- 了解它的分布对于有效的控制策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从2006年到2021年,分析江苏省人类血病的人口,时间和空间模式.
- 确定针对性干预的集群特征.
主要方法:
- 利用了全国可报告传染病报告信息系统 (NIDRIS) 的数据.
- 采用空间自相关联和时间空间扫描统计.
主要成果:
- 在2006-2021年期间报告了1347例病例,中年和老年人 (40-69岁) 患病率高峰.
- 观察到一个长期的上升趋势,季节性高峰 (四月至六月) 和从北/南到中部地区的空间扩张.
- 在北部,南部和容易爆发的地区确定了重要的时空集群.
结论:
- 人类血病仍然是江苏省公共卫生的一个关键问题.
- 在高发病率的北方和南方地区需要有针对性的监测和控制措施.
- 加强疫情应对能力对于流行地区至关重要.
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