关于统计假设测试的注意事项:概率化Modus Tollens是否会使其无效? 这不是真的!
1University of California at Riverside, USA.
Educational and psychological measurement
|November 17, 2023
概括
统计假设测试与演推理相一致,特别是 modus tollens. 本注明明确指出,概率论证据并不能使统计推理中的 modus tollens 无效.
科学领域:
- 统计 统计 统计 统计
- 逻辑 逻辑 逻辑 逻辑
- 科学哲学的哲学科学哲学
背景情况:
- 统计测试结果的解释一直在与演推理的关系下进行辩论.
- 演论存在四种形式,其中两个是有效的,两个是无效的.
- 托伦斯模式 (否认后果) 通常被认为是统计假设测试的唯一有效类比.
研究的目的:
- 为了解决这种说法,概率证据削弱了 modus tollens.
- 重新建立托伦斯模式作为统计假设测试中有效的演推理.
- 纠正有缺陷的问题设置,这些问题质疑modus tollens的适用性,使用概率数据.
主要方法:
- 演推理形式的分析.
- 检查条件陈述 (p→q) 和统计假设测试之间的关系.
- 概率性评价的电费的模式.
主要成果:
- 反对概率化模式收费的论点是基于一个有缺陷的前提.
- 即使在应用于概率统计证据时,Modus tollens也保留了其演力.
- 在统计推断中, modus tollens 的有效性得到了重申.
结论:
- 道斯托伦斯 (Modus tollens) 是一种有效的演推理形式,适用于统计假设测试.
- 概率论证据并不能使 modus tollens 的逻辑结构无效.
- 在解释统计证据时,应正确地运用诸如 modus tollens.这样的演原则.
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