相关实验视频
Updated: Jul 10, 2025

06:10
Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
Published on: March 31, 2023
989
从2010年到2100年的不同路径下,中国的城市级人口预测
Shangchen Zhang1, Mengzhen Zhao2, Zhao Liu3
1Ministry of Education Ecological Field Station for East Asian Migratory Birds, Institute for Global Change Studies, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Scientific data
|November 18, 2023
概括
这项研究为中国提供了关键的城市级人口预测,解决了重大知识差距. 这种精细的模型提高了城市规划和政策制定的准确性,这对中国至关重要.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 城市研究 城市研究
- 人口预测 人口预测
背景情况:
- 城市级人口预测对于城市规划,灾害风险和公共卫生方面的政策和研究至关重要.
- 中国缺乏精确的城市级人口预测,阻碍了准确的未来规划.
- 现有的将电网级数据汇总到城市级的方法带来了重大错误 (约. 只有30%).
研究的目的:
- 为中国制定准确的城市级人口预测.
- 为了解决当前预测方法和数据可用性的局限性.
- 提供一个精细的模型,纳入中国独特的社会经济和政策背景.
主要方法:
- 精细的人口建模,结合细粒度的城市级数据.
- 重新设计的迁移模块,考虑到区域和城市特定的人口吸引力.
- 探索各种适合中国背景的生育和移民场景.
主要成果:
- 实现了显著改进和增强的城市级人口预测.
- 克服了集成电网级数据的局限性,减少了预测错误.
- 制定了适用于中国独特发展路径的预测,与标准共享社会经济路径 (SSP4/SSP5) 不同.
结论:
- 该研究为中国提供了必要的,准确的城市级人口预测.
- 改进的方法提高了各种研究和政策应用的可靠性.
- 调查结果支持在中国城市规划,排放和公共卫生方面的知情决策.
相关概念视频
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
43
Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
43
Generation Time
56
Bacterial generation time, the period required for a bacterial population to double during its exponential growth phase, serves as a critical measure of microbial growth dynamics under optimal conditions. This parameter varies significantly across bacterial species and can be influenced by factors such as temperature, pH, and the availability of nutrients. For example, Escherichia coli can achieve a generation time of approximately 20 minutes, while Mycobacterium tuberculosis exhibits a much...
56
Tumor Progression
6.3K
Tumor progression is a phenomenon where the pre-formed tumor acquires successive mutations to become clinically more aggressive and malignant. In the 1950s, Foulds first described the stepwise progression of cancer cells through successive stages.
Colon cancer is one of the best-documented examples of tumor progression. Early mutation in the APC gene in colon cells causes a small growth on the colon wall called a polyp. With time, this polyp grows into a benign, pre-cancerous tumor. Further...
Colon cancer is one of the best-documented examples of tumor progression. Early mutation in the APC gene in colon cells causes a small growth on the colon wall called a polyp. With time, this polyp grows into a benign, pre-cancerous tumor. Further...
6.3K
Coordinates and Map Projections
44
Coordinates and map projections are essential tools in accurately representing the Earth's surface for various applications, ranging from navigation to spatial analysis. The latitude and longitude coordinate system is a universally recognized framework for defining locations. Latitude specifies the distance of a point north or south of the equator, measured in degrees from 0° at the equator to 90° at the poles. Longitude indicates a location's position east or west of the prime meridian,...
44
Differentiation of Common Myeloid Progenitor Cells
3.2K
Common myeloid progenitors (CMPs) are oligopotent cells that can differentiate into granulocytes and macrophages. Granulocytes and macrophages are essential for protecting the body against bacterial, viral, or fungal infections. They migrate from the bone marrow into the circulating blood to reach specific tissue sites where they differentiate and help in immune surveillance. However, they survive only for a few days and must be continuously made available to the organism to maintain a robust...
3.2K

