法律规定的退休年龄如何影响老年工人的就业与个人和工作相关因素的关系?
1Institute of Statistics and Demography, Collegium of Economic Analysis, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw, Poland.
Journal of aging & social policy
|November 18, 2023
概括
法定退休年龄对老年工人继续工作的影响有限. 诸如职位类型,行业和教育水平等因素对男性和女性都有更大的影响. 政策应该考虑这些与工作相关的因素和性别差异.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 劳动研究 劳动研究
背景情况:
- 促进老年工人就业的政策往往针对法定退休年龄.
- 波兰的老年工人比例较低,2017年实施了一项改革,降低了退休资格年龄.
研究的目的:
- 检查法定退休年龄对继续就业的影响.
- 调查影响退休决策的工人特征和工作相关因素.
- 提出一种新的生存树组合方法来预测就业概率.
主要方法:
- 使用生存树分析.
- 开发了一组生存树,以提高预测准确度.
- 聚焦分析波兰作为一个案例研究.
主要成果:
- 与其他因素相比,法定退休年龄对退休时间的影响有限.
- 对于女性来说,教育与职业的匹配,部门和管理角色显著影响了继续就业.
- 对于男性来说,就业合同类型是保持就业的最关键因素.
结论:
- 退休决定更多地受到工作特定因素的影响,而不是法定退休年龄.
- 延长工作寿命的未来政策必须解决与工作相关的因素和性别差异.
- 根据特定工人特征和性别定制举措对于有效的劳动力参与至关重要.
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