范围区域和生命史特征的快慢连续性预测了野生哺乳动物的病原体丰富性
Jacqueline Choo1, Le T P Nghiem2, Ana Benítez-López3
1Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore. jacqueline.choo@u.nus.edu.
Scientific reports
|November 19, 2023
概括
识别野生动物病原体库对于防止动物传染病蔓延至关重要. 更大的地理范围和特定的哺乳动物秩序如食肉动物是野生物种中高病原体丰富的关键预测因素.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
背景情况:
- 了解野生动物中的病原体丰富性对于预测动物传染病溢出风险至关重要.
- 之前的研究提出了几种预测因素,但它们的相对重要性仍未得到研究,阻碍了水库的识别,特别是在偏远地区.
研究的目的:
- 确定野生哺乳动物物种中病原体丰富性的最重要的预测因素.
- 为目标监测和疾病储备管理战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 组合建模被用来分析14个被提议的病原体丰富性的预测因素.
- 使用了一套包含1040个野生哺乳动物宿主物种的数据集.
- 对研究工作进行了统计控制.
主要成果:
- 较大的物种地理范围区域与较高的病原体丰富度有显著的关联.
- 在快慢的生命史连续和病原体丰富之间观察到双重关系,在极端增加.
- 据预测,食肉动物,虫类,虫类,虫类和虫类的分类系统具有高度的病原体丰富性.
- 狼犬,Sus scrofa和Alces被确定为具有高预测病原体丰富度的顶级物种.
结论:
- 具有更大地理范围的物种和属于特定哺乳动物种类的物种更有可能承受各种病原体的风险.
- 这些发现支持基于证据的病原体监测和积极的疾病储备管理,以减轻动物传染病的出现.
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