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注意差距:从地球观测和国家报告中协调热带森林碳流估计需要透明度
Viola Heinrich1,2,3, Jo House4, David A Gibbs5
1School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. viola.heinrich@gfz-potsdam.de.
Carbon balance and management
|November 20, 2023
概括
全球地球观测 (EO) 数据集有助于协调国家温室气体库存对森林碳流量的差异. 调整巴西的EO数据显著改善了协议,强调了报告碳排放和吸收的透明度的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 遥感 遥感 遥感 遥感
背景情况:
- 从土地上产生的人为碳净流量的估计有很大差异,这是由于对森林管理的定义和核算方法的差异.
- 全球地球观测 (EO) 数据集为估计森林碳流提供了一种一致的方法,这对于与国家温室气体库存 (NGHGI) 相比进行独立验证非常有价值.
研究的目的:
- 将来自全球EO数据集的森林碳流估计与NGHGI报告的森林碳流估计进行比较.
- 评估不同方法,特别是"管理森林"的定义对碳流量估计的影响.
- 支持森林碳排放和吸收的准确及及时测量,报告和验证 (MRV).
主要方法:
- 利用全球EO数据集来描述土地覆盖面和碳库存的时空变化.
- 对比EO衍生的森林碳流估计与巴西,印度尼西亚和马来西亚 (2001-2020) 的NGHGI数据.
- 根据NGHGI的定义和方法调整了EO数据集,特别是针对巴西的管理森林,以评估可比性.
主要成果:
- 巴西的NGHGI报告了净碳来源 (+0.8 GtCO2yr-1),而EO数据显示了2001-2020年间的净沉降 (-0.2 GtCO2yr-1).
- 使用NGHGI定义对巴西的EO估计进行调整,使估计与估计相协调,显示可比净来源为+0.6 GtCO2yr-1.
- 印度尼西亚在EO和NGHGI之间显示了类似的净流量估计 (+0.6 GtCO2yr-1),而马来西亚在数量和标志上有所不同 (NGHGI: -0.2 GtCO2yr-1;EO: +0.2 GtCO2yr-1).
结论:
- 调整EO数据以符合NGHGI定义显著提高了可比性,解释了巴西森林碳流中的初始差异.
- 印尼和马来西亚的差异突出了不同的方法,不确定性和数据限制 (例如,缺乏空间显式森林类型数据) 的影响.
- 加强方法和数据的透明度,正如"巴黎协定"所鼓励的那样,对于调整独立验证方法和改善MRV至关重要.
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