在经验验验证的动态模型预测中估计的景观中微塑料的保留效率
Magnus Norling1, Rachel Hurley1, Theresa Schell2
1Norwegian Institute for Water Research, NO-0349 Oslo, Norway.
Journal of hazardous materials
|November 20, 2023
概括
陆地土壤保留了20-50%的微塑料,延迟了它们的海洋运输. 这项研究模拟了微塑料的命运,强调了水文学在预测陆海污染方面的重要性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文学的水文学
- 生态毒理学 生态毒理学
背景情况:
- 土壤接收微塑料,这些微塑料可以转移到海洋环境中,但土地保留率尚不清楚.
- 陆地来源对海洋微塑料污染作出了重大贡献,需要更好的投入率评估.
- 现有的模型往往缺乏动态水文成分,这对于微塑料命运分析至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 实证地评估一个动态的,景观级别的微塑料命运模型.
- 在陆地环境中量化微塑料保留效率.
- 为了更好地了解从陆地到海的微塑料运输.
主要方法:
- 开发和应用一个结合水文,侵蚀和粒子行为的机械模型.
- 预测河水和沉积物中的微塑料度.
- 计算多年期间的景观保护效率的时间平均值.
主要成果:
- 对于河内斯河中的微塑料度的模型预测在测量不确定性范围内 (误差因子<2对于水,<10对于沉积物).
- 微塑料出口呈现出非线性波动,降水和流水的变化.
- 在多年期间,计算的景观保护效率在20-50%之间.
结论:
- 动态水文描述对于准确的微塑料命运和运输建模至关重要.
- 陆地环境在积累微塑料方面发挥着重要作用,从而延迟它们进入海洋.
- 需要进行进一步的研究,以解决流域内微塑料来源的不确定性.
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