偶然发现尸可能有助于估计风能设施运行的死亡人数
Eric Hallingstad1, Daniel Riser-Espinoza1, Samantha Brown1
1Western EcoSystems Technology, Inc., Cheyenne, Wyoming, United States of America.
PloS one
|November 22, 2023
概括
风力轮机运营人员可以可靠地偶尔检测尸,改善对许可证合规性的死亡监测. 这项研究量化了偶然检测概率及其对估计对受保护猛禽物种影响的贡献.
科学领域:
- 鸟类学 鸟类学是一门学科.
- 野生动物管理 野生动物管理
- 可再生能源的影响.
背景情况:
- 鸟类与风力轮机的碰撞对美国的和金等受保护物种构成重大威胁.
- 风能设施必须通过严格的死亡监控来记录采取许可证的合规性.
- 运营和维护 (O&M) 工作人员可以为偶然的尸体检测提供宝贵的资源.
研究的目的:
- 量化O&M工作人员偶然发现的尸.
- 为了估计意外检测 (意外g) 的总体概率,以符合许可.
- 确定影响偶然检测率的关键驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 在美国6个研究地点的每月检测试验中,利用羽毛诱作为尸替代品.
- 采用逻辑回归模型来分析诸如季节,视区复杂性和尸体密度等驱动因素.
- 应用了基于缺席的证据的方法来估计总体的偶然检测概率,包括尸体持久性和面积调整.
主要成果:
- 运营管理工作人员的偶然检测概率在0.28到0.78之间 (平均值=0.48).
- 随着视界的复杂性增加和与轮机的距离越大,检测率下降.
- 偶然检测的总体概率 (偶然g) 从0.07到0.47不等 (平均值=0.31).
结论:
- 运维人员在偶尔检测尸时表现出有效性.
- 结合偶然检测可以提高估计对的直接影响的可靠性.
- 这种方法为改善死亡监测和证明许可证遵守提供了一种可行的方法.
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