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从2019年到22年的预期寿命变化:2019年到22年的预期寿命变化:2019年至22年的预期寿命变化:2019年至22年的预期寿命变化:2021年至22年的预期寿命变化:2021年至22年的预期寿命变化:2021年至22年的预期寿命
Mst S Munira1, Yuta Okada1, Hiroshi Nishiura1
1Kyoto University School of Public Health, Yoshida-Konoe-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto City 6068501, Japan.
Journal of infection and public health
|November 23, 2023
概括
日本的预期寿命在2022年略有下降,原因是COVID-19的Omicron变种,特别是在爱知县. 然而,到年底,对预期寿命的整体影响仍然很小.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- COVID-19大流行,特别是Omicron变种 (B.1.1.529),在全球控制病毒发病率方面提出了挑战.
- 与前几年相比,2022年日本的COVID-19流行病规模增加.
- 日本长达数十年的出生预期寿命增长趋势从2020年起在全国范围内被打破.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计2022年底在日本出生时的预期寿命.
- 分析COVID-19流行病,特别是Omicron变种对预期寿命趋势的影响.
- 为了比较爱知和福井县之间的人口结果.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自爱知和福井县的临时死亡数据集.
- 从2019年到2022年底收集的每月死亡人数.
- 计算周期生命表以估计出生时的预期寿命.
主要成果:
- 在爱知,出生时的预期寿命在2022年下降了近0.4年,之后在2020年和2021年略有增加.
- 福井县的预期寿命持续增加,到2022年达到86.2岁.
- 尽管Omicron浪潮与疫苗接种工作相吻合,但到2022年底,大流行对国家预期寿命的影响仍受到限制.
结论:
- 截至2022年底,COVID-19大流行对日本预期寿命的影响相对较小.
- 疫苗接种前的不同流行病大小可能解释了爱知和福井之间的不同人口结果.
- 虽然国家趋势显示出中断,但本地化数据表明预期寿命的弹性,福岛显示出持续的增长.
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