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分析奥地利农业温室气体排放的长期动态,1830-2018年

Christian Lauk¹, Andreas Magerl¹, Julia le Noë²

¹University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences Vienna, Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Institute of Social Ecology, Schottenfeldgasse 29, 1070 Vienna, Austria.

The Science of the total environment

|November 23, 2023

概括

奥地利的农业温室气体 (GHG) 排放量从1830-2018年增加了69%. 人均生产推动了1945年后的增长,而减少排放强度和更好的产品组合降低了1985年后的排放.

科学领域:

环境科学环境科学
农业科学农业科学
气候变化研究气候变化研究

背景情况:

农业是全球温室气体 (GHG) 排放的重要来源.
关于农业温室气体排放及其驱动因素的长期历史数据很少.
了解历史趋势对于有效的气候变化减缓战略至关重要.

研究的目的:

分析从1830年到2018年的奥地利农业温室气体排放的轨迹和驱动因素.
量化各种因素对随时间变化的排放变化的影响.
为未来农业减缓工作提供见解.

主要方法:

从1830年到2018年,每年计算区域农业温室气体排放量 (CO2e).
结构分解分析的应用,以确定排放变化的主要驱动因素.
将发现与社会经济趋势以及像GWP*这样的替代指标联系起来.

主要成果:

奥地利的农业温室气体排放量在1830年至2018年之间增加了69% (每年4.6至7.7万CO2e).
排放量适度增长 (1830年至1945年),增加一倍 (1945年至1985年),然后减少三分之一 (1985年至2018年).
人均生产增加推动了1945年后的增长;减少排放强度和更环保的产品组合推动了1985年后的减少.

结论:

长期分析揭示了奥地利农业温室气体排放动态的不同阶段.
随着时间的推移,排放变化的驱动因素发生了重大转变,从生产增长到效率增长和产品组合变化.
历史洞察对于制定有针对性和有效的农业气候减缓政策至关重要.

关键词:

农业农业农业农业奥地利奥地利奥地利奥地利奥地利奥地利温室气体排放排放量温室气体排放量在 GWP* 中使用.司机司机司机司机在过去的轨迹轨迹.

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