在养老金公私伙伴关系中,第三方评估者的行为是一种进化游戏,其中包含了公众参与
Xianghua Yue1, Shahzad Khan Durrani2, Shikuan Zhao3
1School of Economics and Management, Xiangnan University, Chenzhou, 423000, People's Republic of China.
Scientific reports
|November 23, 2023
概括
公众参与鼓励对中国养老金项目的诚实评估. 没有它,第三方评估人员可能会因为监管或激励机制薄弱而伪造结果.
科学领域:
- 公共管理 公共管理
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 中国的养老金项目越来越多地使用公私伙伴关系 (PPP).
- 有效的服务质量监督对于PPP项目成功至关重要.
- 第三方评估人员在确保问责制方面发挥着关键作用.
研究的目的:
- 分析公众参与对中国养老金PPP项目的第三方评估员行为的影响.
- 模拟第三方评估者与政府监管机构之间的战略互动.
- 识别影响真实和虚假评估之间的选择因素.
主要方法:
- 在第三方评估者和政府监管机构之间开发一种进化游戏模型.
- 分析不同条件下规则的演变和公众参与的影响.
- 使用MATLAB 2016a进行数值模拟,以验证模型预测.
主要成果:
- 在没有公众参与的情况下,第三方评估者可能会选择错误的评估,这是由寻求租金或政府处罚不足所驱动的.
- 公众参与激励真实评估,特别是通过提高参与水平或提高声誉奖励.
- 真实评估的有效性取决于政府机构的监管收入和成本之间的平衡.
结论:
- 公众参与是确保第三方评估养老金PPP完整性的关键机制.
- 改进第三方评估系统和加强公众参与可以显著加强服务质量监督.
- 在中国的养老金PPP框架内,优化服务质量监督系统的空间很大.
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