全球和区域肺癌死亡率的流行病学分析:基于全球疾病负担数据库30年数据分析
Xiaoxia Ji1, Jingxian Chen2, Junjun Ye1
1Medical College, Shantou University, Shantou 515031, China.
Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland)
|November 24, 2023
概括
从1990年到2019年,全球肺癌死亡人数上升了91.75%,女性死亡率增加,尽管总体预计下降. 有针对性的预防策略对于减少全球肺癌死亡人数至关重要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 在瘤学瘤学.
背景情况:
- 肺癌仍然是全球死亡的主要原因之一.
- 了解肺癌死亡率的动态趋势对于有效的公共卫生干预至关重要.
- 肺癌负担存在显著的区域和人口差异.
研究的目的:
- 分析从1990年到2019年的全球和区域肺癌死亡率趋势.
- 用贝叶斯年龄周期队列分析预测未来的肺癌死亡率.
- 为全球肺癌预防和治疗策略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 来自全球疾病负担 (GBD) 数据库 (1990-2019) 的数据.
- 统计分析包括GBD世界人口结构标准化.
- 计算年平均百分比变化 (AAPC) 和贝叶斯年龄周期队列分析 (BAPC) 用于未来预测.
主要成果:
- 在1990年至2019年期间,全球肺癌死亡人数增加了91.75%.
- 虽然男性肺癌死亡率呈现下降趋势,但女性死亡率正在增加.
- 低和中等社会人口指数 (SDI) 的地区死亡率增加,与高SDI地区的死亡率下降形成鲜明对比.
结论:
- 尽管预计从2020年到2030年,全球肺癌死亡率的总体下降,但女性死亡率的上升是一个重大的公共卫生问题.
- 有针对性的干预措施是必要的,以应对在特定地区和妇女中日益增加的肺癌负担.
- 有效的策略对于降低肺癌死亡率和提高全球患者生活质量至关重要.
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